Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 0.314815 0.422524 0.541476 0.680342 0.836002 1.003376 1.195325
2025-04-20 0.179321 0.319812 0.494888 0.717648 0.984342 1.286027 1.646524
2025-04-27 0.121096 0.273961 0.482463 0.762750 1.111204 1.516073 2.009833
2025-05-04 0.090319 0.254631 0.496412 0.835068 1.267269 1.778432 2.410008
2025-05-11 0.061847 0.227411 0.492046 0.877947 1.382521 1.988774 2.746363
2025-05-18 0.035351 0.190849 0.466785 0.887731 1.452368 2.141763 3.012974
2025-05-25 0.010841 0.136309 0.402511 0.835831 1.437206 2.186670 3.147095
2025-06-01 0.000643 0.091258 0.341365 0.779935 1.410659 2.212897 3.254882
2025-06-08 NaN 0.064954 0.305777 0.756682 1.423993 2.286194 3.417411
2025-06-15 NaN 0.053508 0.297186 0.773664 1.491412 2.427528 3.663020
2025-06-22 NaN 0.038391 0.274454 0.764903 1.521046 2.519124 3.846229
2025-06-29 NaN 0.024211 0.246321 0.743528 1.530539 2.583108 3.993935
2025-07-06 NaN 0.021208 0.251991 0.784045 1.634479 2.777298 4.313489
2025-07-13 NaN 0.018466 0.257716 0.825250 1.740740 2.976415 4.641809
2025-07-20 NaN 0.017026 0.267483 0.873452 1.856989 3.188415 4.985999
2025-07-27 NaN 0.019344 0.292987 0.951096 2.017277 3.459309 5.405202
2025-08-03 NaN 0.017680 0.301422 0.996959 2.130403 3.667674 5.745509
2025-08-10 NaN 0.012470 0.291375 1.007426 2.190412 3.805205 5.996094
2025-08-17 NaN 0.003893 0.248880 0.951894 2.149048 3.805838 6.071769
2025-08-24 NaN 0.000183 0.207476 0.891969 2.097306 3.790004 6.124419
2025-08-31 NaN NaN 0.184842 0.866999 2.097303 3.842550 6.263046
2025-09-07 NaN NaN 0.182189 0.885237 2.165244 3.988076 6.521635
2025-09-14 NaN NaN 0.168035 0.875830 2.188374 4.071505 6.699619